Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 7.336960 8.137322 9.032564 10.117103 11.407692 12.910268 14.816007
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.093541 7.133629 8.399243 10.086937 12.334404 15.312881 19.725901
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.298875 6.406430 7.825266 9.837515 12.730156 16.942617 24.003500
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.812224 5.964789 7.502207 9.794791 13.311588 18.884400 29.406195
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.433277 5.604885 7.219423 9.729157 13.799890 20.760348 35.504020
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.225685 5.448086 7.188484 10.011973 14.871592 23.916865 45.920156
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.894637 5.080983 6.803984 9.674638 14.806962 24.917055 52.076105
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.603227 4.745602 6.431617 9.302615 14.601550 25.563282 57.802349
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.382051 4.495902 6.166080 9.072811 14.614424 26.681644 65.924403
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.230193 4.337899 6.028091 9.042125 15.004389 28.795366 79.688025
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.225570 4.401473 6.246062 9.667467 16.864367 35.361044 122.675420
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.166796 4.375206 6.312347 10.020457 18.227085 41.358880 181.519945
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.001125 4.180584 6.098919 9.850468 18.452312 44.386925 237.943884
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.868350 4.032648 5.957528 9.815108 19.033617 49.208398 351.574431
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.717996 3.845647 5.731192 9.575426 19.038552 51.976488 479.555604
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.610963 3.722913 5.608162 9.534382 19.567772 57.427907 800.013673
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.510493 3.604591 5.482906 9.471326 20.025340 63.116544 1493.162082
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.462211 3.570792 5.508772 9.742973 21.552316 76.251915 7495.880369
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.343254 3.409339 5.284092 9.418942 21.157505 78.015450 20029.901451
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.228733 3.250341 5.054594 9.061338 20.585257 78.309675 70954.751208
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.138448 3.129331 4.890278 8.840304 20.421695 81.459532 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.076569 3.054884 4.810445 8.810781 20.903602 90.221510 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.087433 3.108387 4.982026 9.412052 23.832239 127.056536 NaN